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Economy

Monetary policy, fiscal policy, RBI, government budgets, and macroeconomics

US Adds 115,000 Jobs as Consumer Confidence Hits Record Low

The US added 115,000 jobs in April, beating expectations, with unemployment steady at 4.3 percent. But record-low consumer confidence signals households are increasingly worried about the outlook, which could dampen spending and pressure corporate earnings ahead.

Bank of America Sees No Fed Rate Cuts Until 2027

Bank of America economists now expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady through 2025 and 2026, with the first cut not coming until 2027. The forecast, driven by a hawkish Fed stance and sticky inflation, would keep borrowing costs high for mortgages, business loans, and consumer credit far longer than markets

India Weighs Fuel Price Hike Amid Crude Losses

India's state-run oil companies are absorbing large daily losses as global crude prices stay high and the West Asia crisis strains supply routes. A fuel price hike is being weighed to ease the financial burden, though no timeline has been announced.

U.S. Adds 115,000 Jobs in April, Beating Forecasts

U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose 115,000 in April, more than double the 55,000 Dow Jones consensus forecast, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. The beat reduces pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates quickly and eases near-term recession concerns.

U.S. Adds 115,000 Jobs in April, Defying Oil Shock

U.S. employers added 115,000 jobs in April, beating expectations while unemployment stayed low. Despite the largest global oil supply disruption in history, the American labor market has so far shown little damage.

U.S. Adds 115,000 Jobs, Doubles April Forecast

U.S. employers added 115,000 jobs in April, nearly double the 65,000 analysts had forecast. The stronger-than-expected result reduces immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and signals the labor market has not yet weakened sharply.

U.S. Adds 115,000 Jobs in April, Unemployment 4.3%

The U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, with unemployment at 4.3%, as geopolitical tensions with Iran clouded the outlook. The soft hiring pace puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to weigh whether rate cuts are needed to sustain growth.

State Oil Firms Absorb Rs 30,000 Cr Loss to Hold Fuel Prices

India's state-run oil firms absorbed an estimated Rs 30,000 crore in losses by keeping petrol, diesel, and LPG prices frozen during a global energy shock. Government excise duty cuts helped partially offset the shortfall, but financial stress on these companies is now significant.

U.S. Gas Prices Hit $4.50, Highest Since 2022

U.S. gasoline prices have surpassed $4.50 a gallon, the highest level since 2022. That adds direct cost pressure on household budgets and could push broader inflation higher through rising transport and logistics expenses.

Fed's Hammack Signals Rates on Hold for Extended Period

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates will stay on hold for an extended period, citing high economic uncertainty and a risk that an "inflationary mindset" becomes entrenched after five years of sharp price increases.

April Jobs Report: What to Expect Friday

The April U.S. jobs report releases Friday, with markets expecting a labor market that is slowing but still stable. The data will directly shape expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and offer a read on how hiring has held up amid tariff pressures.

Powell and Warsh Face Rare Fed Chair Overlap

Jerome Powell and Kevin Warsh are set to share the Fed's policy table for the first time a sitting and former chair have done so in nearly 80 years. Any public disagreement between the two could disrupt market expectations on interest rates and Fed credibility.

Kashkari Warns Rate Hikes May Return If Inflation Rises

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said further US interest rate hikes "could be warranted" if the Middle East conflict worsens inflation, likely through higher energy prices. The comments push back against market expectations of rate cuts and signal the Fed remains open to tightening if price pressures resurface.

India Core Sector Output Hits 19-Month Low

India's core sector output shrank 0.4% in March, hitting a 19-month low, with crude oil production falling 5.7% year-on-year. Since these eight industries make up roughly 40% of industrial output, the drop is likely to weigh on broader factory output data when it is released.

US Job Creation Hits 1960s Low at 189,000

U.S. job creation dropped to 189,000, the lowest level since the 1960s, catching markets and financial media off guard. The reading significantly increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates sooner than expected.

Fed's Goolsbee Calls Recent Inflation Data Bad News

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee called recent inflation data "bad news," reinforcing that interest rate cuts are unlikely to come soon. The comments signal the Fed needs significantly more progress on inflation before it will ease borrowing costs.

Pakistan Inflation Hits Double Digits After 21 Months

Pakistan's CPI rose nearly 11pc year-on-year in April, the first double-digit reading in 21 months, as Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pushed transport costs up 15.47pc and perishable food prices up 15.25pc.

Fed Expected to Hold Rates at Powell's Possible Last Meeting

The Federal Reserve meets this week and is expected to hold interest rates steady, with elevated energy prices and the unresolved Iran conflict clouding the economic outlook. The meeting may also be Jerome Powell's last as Fed chair, adding leadership uncertainty to an already complex policy moment.