Global military spending hit a record $2.89 trillion in 2024, rising for the eleventh consecutive year, with Europe's rearmament drive carrying much of the momentum even as U.S. defence outlays fell. The data marks a significant shift in who is funding global security, with European nations accelerating military budgets in response to continued uncertainty over U.S. security commitments and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Europe's spending surge is not just a budget line, it reflects a structural rethink of defence self-reliance across NATO members, many of whom had spent decades below the alliance's 2% of GDP target. The U.S. pullback is notable because Washington has long been the world's largest defence spender by a wide margin. A sustained decline in American outlays, combined with rising European and Asian defence budgets, could reshape procurement contracts, defence industry revenues, and transatlantic strategic priorities. Watch for how European defence firms and listed contractors respond to sustained budget increases and whether U.S. industry faces reduced export demand.
Qatar's foreign ministry said mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman have reached "very progressive stages" in efforts to end the US-Iran war, pushing Brent crude down more than four percent.
Qatar confirmed it is mediating between the US and Iran but said no direct talks are currently planned. The clarification follows conflicting statements from President Trump, who claimed talks are under way, and Tehran, which denied any dialogue is happening.
Saudi Aramco reported sharply higher second-quarter 2026 profits as the Iran war restricts global oil supply and pushes crude prices up. Other oil supermajors also posted outsized earnings, raising concerns about sustained fuel cost pressure for importing economies.
President Trump called current Iran negotiations the "last chance" to end five months of conflict, pushing oil prices higher. Tehran denied formal talks are taking place, raising the risk of a diplomatic breakdown with direct consequences for global energy markets.