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interest-rates

US Inflation Hits 4.1%, September Fed Hike in Play

US inflation hit 4.1% in May 2026, its highest level in three years, driven by rising energy prices, keeping a Federal Reserve rate hike in September firmly on the table. Consumer spending rose on tax refunds and a stock market rally, while business investment in AI equipment also rebounded.

Gold Slides Toward Fourth Straight Weekly Loss

Gold is on track for a fourth consecutive weekly decline as rising U.S. rate-hike bets strengthen the dollar, pressuring the metal's price. A fragile U.S.-Iran agreement and a Strait of Hormuz incident add geopolitical risk but have not been enough to offset the dollar's pull.

Why gold didn’t behave like a safe-haven

Global gold prices have dropped 22% since February 2026, defying the metal's safe-haven reputation. High real interest rates, a stronger US dollar, and heavy investor outflows from gold ETFs are driving the sell-off, with no clear catalyst for a quick recovery in sight.

Inflation topped 4% in May as CPI surged to highest level in 3 years

U.S. consumer prices rose at a 4.2% annual rate in May, the fastest pace in three years, driven by a spike in energy costs. The reading puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to respond, with potential knock-on effects for interest rates, borrowing costs, and household purchasing power.

US Inflation Hits 3-Year High on Energy Costs

US inflation rose to a three-year high in May, driven by surging gas and energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict. The reading complicates the Federal Reserve's path toward cutting interest rates and keeps pressure on household budgets.

Trump Picks Kevin Warsh as Next Fed Chair

President Trump named Kevin Warsh as his Federal Reserve Chair pick, calling him 'fantastic' and saying he wants Warsh to set interest rates without White House pressure. Warsh, a former Fed governor with hawkish inflation instincts, could keep borrowing costs higher for longer than markets expect.

Gold Holds Steady Amid Iran Talks and Rate Uncertainty

Gold held steady as a partial Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire offset uncertainty from ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations. Investors are awaiting U.S. jobs data and Federal Reserve commentary for clearer direction on rates and inflation.

US Inflation Hits 3.8% on Iran War Energy Surge

US inflation rose to 3.8% in April, its highest since May 2023, as energy costs surged due to the Iran conflict. The jump complicates Federal Reserve plans to cut interest rates and raises costs for consumers and borrowers.

Strong Jobs Data Keeps Fed on Hold Amid Inflation Risk

A strong U.S. jobs report removes near-term pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. War-driven supply disruptions and rising energy prices are now the bigger inflation threat, keeping rate cuts off the table.

Bank of America Sees No Fed Rate Cuts Until 2027

Bank of America economists now expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady through 2025 and 2026, with the first cut not coming until 2027. The forecast, driven by a hawkish Fed stance and sticky inflation, would keep borrowing costs high for mortgages, business loans, and consumer credit far longer than markets

U.S. Adds 115,000 Jobs, Doubles April Forecast

U.S. employers added 115,000 jobs in April, nearly double the 65,000 analysts had forecast. The stronger-than-expected result reduces immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and signals the labor market has not yet weakened sharply.

US Adds 115,000 Jobs Despite Iran War Shock

US employers added 115,000 jobs in April, beating expectations despite economic disruption from the Iran conflict. Wage growth of 3.6% year-on-year stayed in line with the Fed's 2% inflation target, reducing pressure for an emergency rate cut.

Fed's Hammack Signals Rates on Hold for Extended Period

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates will stay on hold for an extended period, citing high economic uncertainty and a risk that an "inflationary mindset" becomes entrenched after five years of sharp price increases.

April Jobs Report: What to Expect Friday

The April U.S. jobs report releases Friday, with markets expecting a labor market that is slowing but still stable. The data will directly shape expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and offer a read on how hiring has held up amid tariff pressures.

Powell and Warsh Face Rare Fed Chair Overlap

Jerome Powell and Kevin Warsh are set to share the Fed's policy table for the first time a sitting and former chair have done so in nearly 80 years. Any public disagreement between the two could disrupt market expectations on interest rates and Fed credibility.

Kashkari: Iran War Would Cloud Fed Rate Guidance

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said a war involving Iran would constrain the Fed's ability to provide clear interest rate guidance. Geopolitical shocks that disrupt oil supply and stoke inflation make it harder for the Fed to commit to any rate path, raising uncertainty for markets and borrowers.

Kashkari Warns Rate Hikes May Return If Inflation Rises

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said further US interest rate hikes "could be warranted" if the Middle East conflict worsens inflation, likely through higher energy prices. The comments push back against market expectations of rate cuts and signal the Fed remains open to tightening if price pressures resurface.

US Job Creation Hits 1960s Low at 189,000

U.S. job creation dropped to 189,000, the lowest level since the 1960s, catching markets and financial media off guard. The reading significantly increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates sooner than expected.

Fed's Goolsbee Calls Recent Inflation Data Bad News

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee called recent inflation data "bad news," reinforcing that interest rate cuts are unlikely to come soon. The comments signal the Fed needs significantly more progress on inflation before it will ease borrowing costs.

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Tag

interest-rates

US inflation tops 4% for first time in three years, keeping Fed hike in play

US inflation hit 4.1% in May 2026, its highest level in three years, driven by rising energy prices, keeping a Federal Reserve rate hike in September firmly on the table. Consumer spending rose on tax refunds and a stock market rally, while business investment in AI equipment also rebounded.

3d ago · 3 min · Economy

Gold poised for fourth weekly loss as hawkish Fed bets buoy dollar

Gold is on track for a fourth consecutive weekly decline as rising U.S. rate-hike bets strengthen the dollar, pressuring the metal's price. A fragile U.S.-Iran agreement and a Strait of Hormuz incident add geopolitical risk but have not been enough to offset the dollar's pull.

3d ago · 3 min · Markets

Why gold didn’t behave like a safe-haven

Global gold prices have dropped 22% since February 2026, defying the metal's safe-haven reputation. High real interest rates, a stronger US dollar, and heavy investor outflows from gold ETFs are driving the sell-off, with no clear catalyst for a quick recovery in sight.

9d ago · 4 min · Markets

Inflation topped 4% in May as CPI surged to highest level in 3 years

U.S. consumer prices rose at a 4.2% annual rate in May, the fastest pace in three years, driven by a spike in energy costs. The reading puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to respond, with potential knock-on effects for interest rates, borrowing costs, and household purchasing power.

19d ago · 3 min · Economy

Trump on new Fed Chair Warsh: ‘I don’t want to have a big influence on him’

President Trump named Kevin Warsh as his Federal Reserve Chair pick, calling him 'fantastic' and saying he wants Warsh to set interest rates without White House pressure. Warsh, a former Fed governor with hawkish inflation instincts, could keep borrowing costs higher for longer than markets expect.

21d ago · 3 min · Economy

Gold steady amid uncertainty over US-Iran peace negotiations

Gold held steady as a partial Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire offset uncertainty from ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations. Investors are awaiting U.S. jobs data and Federal Reserve commentary for clearer direction on rates and inflation.

23d ago · 3 min · Markets

US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

US inflation rose to 3.8% in April, its highest since May 2023, as energy costs surged due to the Iran conflict. The jump complicates Federal Reserve plans to cut interest rates and raises costs for consumers and borrowers.

1mo ago · 3 min · Economy

Fed unlikely to cut interest rates until 2027, Bank of America says

Bank of America economists now expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady through 2025 and 2026, with the first cut not coming until 2027. The forecast, driven by a hawkish Fed stance and sticky inflation, would keep borrowing costs high for mortgages, business loans, and consumer credit far longer than markets

1mo ago · 2 min · Economy

Employers added 115,000 jobs in April, blowing past forecasts

U.S. employers added 115,000 jobs in April, nearly double the 65,000 analysts had forecast. The stronger-than-expected result reduces immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and signals the labor market has not yet weakened sharply.

1mo ago · 2 min · Economy

Here's what to expect from Friday's release of the April jobs report

The April U.S. jobs report releases Friday, with markets expecting a labor market that is slowing but still stable. The data will directly shape expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and offer a read on how hiring has held up amid tariff pressures.

1mo ago · 2 min · Economy

Kashkari says Iran war limits Fed's ability to provide rate guidance

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said a war involving Iran would constrain the Fed's ability to provide clear interest rate guidance. Geopolitical shocks that disrupt oil supply and stoke inflation make it harder for the Fed to commit to any rate path, raising uncertainty for markets and borrowers.

1mo ago · 2 min · Global Affairs

US Fed official says rate hikes may be needed if inflation surges 

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said further US interest rate hikes "could be warranted" if the Middle East conflict worsens inflation, likely through higher energy prices. The comments push back against market expectations of rate cuts and signal the Fed remains open to tightening if price pressures resurface.

1mo ago · 2 min · Economy

Recent inflation data was 'bad news,' Fed's Goolsbee says 

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee called recent inflation data "bad news," reinforcing that interest rate cuts are unlikely to come soon. The comments signal the Fed needs significantly more progress on inflation before it will ease borrowing costs.

1mo ago · 2 min · Economy