The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive meeting, with chair Jerome Powell citing global risks including rising energy prices and supply chain disruptions as reasons for caution. The decision signals the Fed is not ready to hike further but is also not moving toward cuts yet. Policymakers are caught between two pressures: inflation that remains above target and the risk that more rate hikes could slow economic growth too sharply. Holding rates steady buys time to watch how the economy responds to previous increases. For India, the near-term read is cautiously positive. A steady Fed reduces pressure on the rupee and lowers the risk of capital outflows from Indian markets. However, elevated crude oil prices, flagged by the Fed itself as a global risk, continue to pose a challenge, since India imports most of its oil and higher prices widen the trade deficit and stoke domestic inflation. Powell is approaching the end of his tenure, adding some uncertainty about future Fed direction. Markets will watch closely for any signals on who leads the Fed next and whether policy priorities shift.
Qatar's foreign ministry said mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman have reached "very progressive stages" in efforts to end the US-Iran war, pushing Brent crude down more than four percent.
Qatar confirmed it is mediating between the US and Iran but said no direct talks are currently planned. The clarification follows conflicting statements from President Trump, who claimed talks are under way, and Tehran, which denied any dialogue is happening.
Saudi Aramco reported sharply higher second-quarter 2026 profits as the Iran war restricts global oil supply and pushes crude prices up. Other oil supermajors also posted outsized earnings, raising concerns about sustained fuel cost pressure for importing economies.
President Trump called current Iran negotiations the "last chance" to end five months of conflict, pushing oil prices higher. Tehran denied formal talks are taking place, raising the risk of a diplomatic breakdown with direct consequences for global energy markets.