The Indian rupee has fallen to a record low of 95.33 against the US dollar, pushed down by a combination of rising crude oil prices, heavy foreign capital outflows, and widening fiscal and current account deficits. The drop marks a sharp deterioration in the currency's position, with multiple pressures arriving at the same time. India imports roughly 85% of its crude oil needs, so when energy prices surge, the import bill climbs fast. That widens the current account deficit, the gap between what India earns from abroad and what it pays out, putting direct selling pressure on the rupee. Foreign investors pulling money out of Indian markets adds to that pressure by increasing dollar demand. The Reserve Bank of India has intervened to slow the fall, but central bank action has not been enough to reverse the trend. Higher crude prices also feed into domestic inflation, which squeezes household budgets and complicates the RBI's policy choices between defending the rupee and managing growth. Watch for further RBI intervention levels, the trajectory of global crude prices, and whether foreign portfolio flows stabilise as key signals for where the rupee heads next.
Pakistan's economy grew 3.7 percent in FY2026, its fastest rate in four years, according to the Pakistan Economic Survey presented by Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb. Growth beat last year's 3.18 percent but missed the 4.2 percent target, with floods, regional conflict, and weaker food exports cited as key drags.
The Union government released an additional Rs 1,09,019 crore in tax devolution to states on August 1, 2026, separate from the regular monthly transfer. The lump-sum release aims to accelerate state capital spending in the July-September quarter, with Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and Madhya Pradesh among the top recipients.
US mortgage rates have risen to a one-year high as markets weigh Federal Reserve rate uncertainty and Middle East conflict-driven inflation fears. Higher rates increase monthly payments for new buyers and are likely to further suppress housing market activity and refinancing.
Pakistan's Sensitive Price Index rose 13.52 percent year on year for the week ending July 2, 2026, marking 45 consecutive weeks of annual gains. Electricity up 49 percent, wheat flour up 68 percent, and LPG up 44 percent year on year are the main drivers.