Treasury yields climbed alongside oil prices as Federal Reserve officials continued to navigate a tension that has defined policy deliberations in 2025: whether inflation persistence or slowing growth poses the greater near-term threat. The simultaneous rise in yields and crude prices reflects a market recalibrating the probability of rate cuts, as higher energy costs feed into inflation expectations and complicate the Fed's path toward easing. When oil rises in tandem with yields, the signal typically points to supply-side inflation rather than demand strength, a distinction that limits the Fed's ability to respond without risking growth further. Traders and analysts will be watching incoming inflation data and Fed commentary closely for signs of which risk the Committee weights more heavily. Any shift toward prioritizing growth would accelerate rate-cut pricing; a firmer inflation stance would push longer-dated yields higher still and reprice risk assets accordingly.
Indian startups raised $5.2 billion across 501 deals in H1 2026, down 9% in value but up 7% in deal count year-on-year, per the Inc42 Indian Tech Startup Funding Report. The drop is driven by fewer mega-rounds, while AI funding surged 317% and growth-stage deal activity hit a multi-year high.
The BSE Sensex fell 893 points and the Nifty 50 shed 279 points on June 30, 2026, wiping out roughly Rs 6 lakh crore in investor wealth in a single session. Both indices dropped 1.16%, closing at 76,200.68 and 23,824.10 respectively.
Kotak Mahindra Bank shares fell nearly 3% to Rs 397.6 after CEO Ashok Vaswani announced plans to exit the bank. Investor concern now centres on succession timing and whether the bank's ongoing digital and deposit-growth strategy will stay on track.
South Korea's Kospi dropped 3% at Monday's open while Japan's Nikkei fell 1%, as escalating US-Iran conflict triggered a broad risk-off move across Asian markets. South Korea's heavy reliance on Middle East oil imports makes it especially vulnerable to geopolitical shocks of this kind.
