The UAE will leave OPEC on May 1, ending a membership that spans more than six decades. The departure is one of the most significant exits the group has faced, coming as tensions involving Iran reshape how Gulf producers think about oil alliances and output strategy. OPEC's core function is coordinating member output to manage global crude prices. Losing the UAE, one of the group's largest producers with capacity above 4 million barrels per day, weakens that coordination power. Fewer aligned members means OPEC has less collective leverage to defend price floors when demand softens or rivals pump more. The UAE has for years quietly chafed at output ceilings that limited its ability to monetize its expanded production capacity. Regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict appear to have accelerated a break that was already building on economic grounds. For oil markets, the exit raises questions about OPEC's ability to hold cohesion among Gulf producers. Watch whether other members with similar grievances use this as cover to seek looser output terms or follow with their own departures.
Venezuela's earthquake death toll has reached 1,430 with the US Geological Survey warning fatalities could top 10,000, placing it among Latin America's deadliest in a century. US military planes are landing in Caracas, Washington is mobilising $150 million in aid, and rescue teams from 17 countries are on the ground.
Iranian armed forces attacked a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, briefly halting traffic through the waterway. The strike threatens a fragile US-Iran arrangement and could push shipping insurance costs and oil prices higher.
The US has struck Iran, with President Trump citing an Iranian attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz as justification. The action raises immediate risks for global oil flows through one of the world's most critical shipping chokepoints.
The US struck ten Iranian targets on the second consecutive day of military action, putting a fragile ceasefire under serious pressure. The escalation raises immediate risks for Gulf shipping, global oil supply, and regional stability.